Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.591814 0.656746 0.726945 0.808657 0.901381 1.003588 1.125125
2025-08-10 0.490993 0.580868 0.685642 0.817588 0.980409 1.176157 1.431426
2025-08-17 0.421203 0.519346 0.639526 0.799015 1.007356 1.273380 1.643801
2025-08-24 0.383117 0.488591 0.623075 0.809515 1.065080 1.408740 1.915537
2025-08-31 0.347926 0.456221 0.599004 0.804341 1.097569 1.509857 2.149198
2025-09-07 0.322362 0.433260 0.583911 0.807842 1.139782 1.626103 2.416574
2025-09-14 0.296091 0.406458 0.560298 0.795632 1.156091 1.703837 2.632618
2025-09-21 0.274876 0.384696 0.541431 0.787648 1.176476 1.788016 2.867668
2025-09-28 0.250300 0.355986 0.509830 0.756975 1.157531 1.806365 2.992618
2025-10-05 0.240722 0.348568 0.509065 0.773485 1.214861 1.954390 3.362369
2025-10-12 0.231108 0.340246 0.506028 0.785669 1.265592 2.095945 3.739637
2025-10-19 0.221064 0.330451 0.499778 0.791707 1.305876 2.222804 4.106486
2025-10-26 0.210776 0.319760 0.491591 0.794245 1.341111 2.346142 4.489319
2025-11-02 0.202344 0.311475 0.486696 0.801973 1.386455 2.493833 4.947162
2025-11-09 0.189787 0.295620 0.468080 0.783847 1.381743 2.543526 5.201109
2025-11-16 0.183431 0.289583 0.465504 0.794111 1.431664 2.707411 5.737384
2025-11-23 0.174955 0.279428 0.455115 0.789053 1.450945 2.810218 6.148706
2025-11-30 0.168536 0.272364 0.449580 0.792476 1.487224 2.952837 6.681058
2025-12-07 0.160198 0.261489 0.436573 0.780539 1.490741 3.024216 7.046515
2025-12-14 0.153088 0.252365 0.426135 0.772732 1.502033 3.114103 7.476477
2025-12-21 0.143282 0.237958 0.405241 0.742738 1.463143 3.084259 7.577447
2025-12-28 0.140551 0.236076 0.407306 0.758883 1.526117 3.301163 8.409020
2026-01-04 0.137384 0.233213 0.407327 0.770797 1.580813 3.505228 9.247421